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CI SARÀ LA RIPRESA

CI SARÀ LA RIPRESA

Ve lo ricordate quando dicevano: “ci sarà la ripresa”. In questi giorni escono i rapporti sulla situazione dello stato italiano. Si tratta di un abisso dove le stime dei blasonati acacdemici economisti della Bocconi sono andate in fumo. La situazione è gravissima. Il Pil avrà una riduzione da 2.4 a 4% annuale!! Crollano consumi e fatturati a due cifre! Ben oltre il 50% de la popolazione non ha pagato l’imu e ben pochi pagheranno le seguenti rate.

Lo spread è ai suoi massimi e dopo Grecia, Portogallo e Spagna è il peggiore al mondo. Più nulla può salvare Italia dal crollo. La stampa italiana nasconde e riempie di ottimismo gli stupidi lettori per fargli comperare i bot.

La Merkel non ha aperto ad un cazzo, la Merkel ha detto chiaro a Monti che è stato un incapace e che ha solo aumentato le tasse deprimendo l’economia e nulla ha fatto per eliminare i privilegi. Anzi, ha rincarato dicendo che gli resta un mese di tempo per fare miracoli, dopo per lui ci saranno le dimissioni e il primo crollo economico politico di tutto l’apparato italia avverrà in autunno. I giornali di regime si appendono alla partita di calcio.

 

Italy’s economic crisis deepens

By Giulia Segreti in Rome

Italy’s main employers’ association revised downwards its forecasts for the country’s economy on Thursday, predicting a deeper ongoing recession and the subsequent failure in balancing the budget by 2013.

Confindustria expects that the Italian economy, the third largest in the eurozone, will contract 2.4 per cent in 2012, down from the minus 1.6 per cent figure published in December and double the 1.2 per cent fall predicted by the government.

The gloomy report also predicts the economy shrinking 0.3 per cent next year, significantly down from the last forecast for growth of 0.6 per cent.

Luca Paolazzi, chief economist, explained that “previous forecasts were based on the expectation of more contained debt financing costs. As the bond yields have risen again, we had to revise down our projection.”

“The second quarter showed a deterioration in the whole euro region, with Italy being negatively affected by the earthquakes in the Emilia region. Investments fell and households have changed their spending and saving behaviours as available income fell,” he added.

In a sign of the growing nervousness surrounding the country’s debt, Italy on Thursday was forced to pay the highest interest rates since December in a €5.24bn auction of five- and 10-year government bonds.

Rome sold its 10-year debt at an average rate of 6.19 per cent, up from 6.03 per cent at last month’s auction, while the five-year paper priced at a rate of 5.84 per cent, compared with 5.66 per cent in May.

The report is the latest sign of a deepening double-dip recession in Italy and will add urgency to prime minister Mario Monti’s demands for short-term measures at Thursday’s summit in Brussels or risk further attack on financial markets.

The forecasts, said Mr Paolazzi, are based “on positive outcome of the debt crisis” by the end of the year, with an agreement on the European banking union and on mechanism to contain spread being reached.

The June report says that “public accounts improve visibly but the greater fall in GDP inevitably pushes forward the parity” without specifying when it expects a balanced budget, but ruling out further budget adjustments.

According to Confindustria, the unemployment rate in the country will be 10.4 per cent in 2012 and 11.8 per cent in 2013, with a peak of 12.4 in the last quarter of next year.

The business lobby praised the “huge steps, unthinkable only a year ago” made by the technocrat government of Mr Monti but added “the process is far from being completed”.

It criticised the latest labour reforms, approved on Wednesday by parliament, as “inferior to expectations and the needs (of the market) and risks increasing complications”. Effects of the reform have not been accounted for in the estimates.

Additional reporting by Guy Dinmore in Rome and Mary Watkins in London

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